Miguel Cotto Vs Daniel Geale – Preview and Prediction

Miguel Cotto defends his WBC World Middleweight title against hard nosed Daniel Geale at a catchweight of 157Ibs. The catchweight will likely play such a significance in this fight it was imperative to see the weigh in before making a final pick.

Geale a former middleweight world champion himself has had to make his lowest weight in over 8 years for this fight, and he has made it, just. However it looks like it is has taken its toll on the Australian who will have 24 hours to hydrate and pile on pounds.

Meanwhile Cotto strolls in at under the light middleweight limit at 153.6 Ilbs. It really is a farce.

cotto

THE STORY ON – MIGUEL COTTO

The first and only Puerto Rican fighter to win titles at 4 different weight divisions, Cotto has been an elite fighter over the years and a fan favourite. He won the middleweight title with a fierce display against former number 1 in the division Sergio Martinez, pummelling Martinez to a 10th round retirement.

However without taking anything away from Cotto it was clear to see Martinez was a shell of his former self and carrying a knee injury which effected his mobility dramatically.

This may well be for the middleweight title but Cotto is not really a middleweight, as per the weigh in, he can comfortable make light middleweight and has never actually made 160 pounds, he fought Martinez as a 155Ib fighter.

Cotto has proved however, he still carries enough power with two stoppage wins in his last two fights and a career KO percentage of 74%.  A win this weekend will further put fuel on a lucrative fight with Canelo Alvarez down the line.

DanielGeale

THE STORY ON – DANIEL GEALE 

An accomplished amateur and former WBA, IBF and IBO middleweight champion, Daniel Geale is one of Australia’s most successful boxers of all time, he holds good wins against the likes of Sebastian Sylvester, Felix Sturm and Anthony Mundine.

He was demolished by Gennady Golovkin inside 3 rounds in his penultimate fight but bounced back well to win a wide points decision against Jarrod Fletcher more recently.

Geale while not the biggest puncher knows his way around the ring and brings some skills, if making weight hasn’t diminished him too much he could surprise and most certainly compete.

PREDICTION – COTTO TKO10 

It was clear to see at the weigh in that Geale has had it tough making weight, but he has made it and as a result now has a world title to fight for which should keep him motivated.

There are obvious concerns that we will see a depleted and drained Geale this Saturday night and as a result, another straight forward one sided stoppage win for Cotto. That is a  possibility.

However I am one of the believers that Cotto is a faded fighter himself also, and his one sided win against Martinez has perhaps elevated him beyond his own measures at this point in his career. It wasn’t that long ago he was completely dominated by Austin Trout at light middleweight and looked finished.

If Geale didn’t look so drained making the weight I would be happy to back him at 5/1 for a value play but given how drained Geale looked at the weigh in I am expecting Cotto to wear him down late on in the fight.

Sky Bet have 3/1 for Miguel Cotto to win in rounds 7-12, that looks quite generous, I am going to play Cotto 7-12 with some cover on Geale at 5/1, Boylesports.

BETTING TIPS

£15 on Miguel Cotto rounds 7-12 3/1 Sky Bet, £5 on Daniel Geale to win 5/1 Boylesports.