Manny Pacquiao Vs Jessie Vargas – Preview and Prediction

Eight division world champion and boxing legend Manny Pacquaio returns to the ring against Mexican Jesse Vargas this Saturday night at the Thomas and Mack centre, Las Vegas.

The bout will be a PPV affair stateside but will be available for subscribers of Boxnation in the UK, with the programme commencing at 1am UK time.

Pacquiao may not be the destroyer he once was and at 37 he has to be considered past his prime but probably still arguably remains the best fighter in the welterweight division, some could make an argument he is still one of the best talents out there in any division, such is his incredible skill set.

However a disappointing performance against Floyd Mayweather Jr has dwindled interest in the Filipino star. Whether he would beat Mayweather Jr was the last question to be answered in his career for many, what does he have left to prove? According to the man himself he is not done with boxing, and still has much to prove.

A match up against Jessie Vargas doesn’t really wet the appetite, Vargas while a solid opponent hasn’t shown anything or beaten anyone so far in his career to suggest he can really trouble Pacquaio, Pacquiao is coming off the back of a dominant performance against Timothy Bradley, a guy who has already beaten Vargas.

Bradley showed his superiority against Vargas and albeit a minor scare in the last round, won that bout comfortably so we can be led to believe Pacquiao should be at least a few levels above Vargas this weekend, and in my opinion Vargas is a good style match up for Pacquiao.

The only advantage I see for Vargas in this bout is he will be the bigger man, but that is nothing new to Pacquiao in this division, he has been beating up bigger men for years.

I believe this will be another dominating performance from Pacquiao and the only chance Vargas has is a punch from the gods because he simply will not be able to deal with the speed and footwork of The Pacman this weekend.

In terms of betting the fight, given that Pacquiao only has one stoppage win in 7 years and only stopped 1 opponent in 11 at welterweight you have to argue that the smart money has to go on a Pacquiao unanimous decision which can be had at 10/11 at Ladbrokes (in decision victory market) .

However I do get the feeling a late stoppage is not out of the question, I can see Pacquaio landing at will at times in this fight and while Vargas appears durable, I will not be surprised if his face is a mess in the later rounds, all it takes is for swelling or a cut to halt matters late on.

I would advise a small straddle on Pacquiao rounds 7-12 which can be had at 9/2 to cover, also at Ladbrokes.


BETTING TIP: 2pts on Pacquiao unanimous decision 10/11 Ladbrokes, 0.5 pt on Pacquiao rounds 7-12 9/2 Ladbrokes