Lucas Matthysse Vs Ruslan Provodnikov – Preview and Prediction

Provodnikov-Matthysse

There may be no belts at stake this Saturday night but this fight still remains one of the most highly anticipated match ups of the year so far, if your into a throwback blood and guts affair, it really doesn’t get much better than this.

These two fighters are extremely heavy handed and ferocious in their attacks, ladies and gentleman, it looks like we may have a war on our hands.

Lucas

THE STORY ON – LUCAS MATTHYSSE 

The Argentinian is lucky to have 3 losses on his record, it could and perhaps should only be 1 official loss, losses to Devon Alexander and Zab Judah are both debatable, split decision affairs.

Matthysse has an incredible 85% Knockout ratio and from 36 wins he has dismantled 34 inside the distance, he is a devastating puncher but make no mistake while from a technical standpoint, he is no Guillermo Rigondeaux or Floyd Mayweather, Matthysse does have the ability to box.

Matthysse will have a 3 inch reach advantage and has already stated he plans to box and move his way to victory this weekend, however you really do feel with Provodnikov breathing on his chest it won’t be long before he is dragged into a fire-fight.

provodnikov

THE STORY ON – RUSLAN PROVODNIKOV 

A former light welterweight champion, Provodnikov is coming in off the back off a win against former world champion Jose Luis Castillo 5 months ago, however considering Castillo is only a shadow of his former self, that can only be considered a tune up fight in reality.

In his penultimate fight Providnikov dropped his title to Chris Algieri via a split decision and it was clear in that bout boxers with good foot movement cause Provodnikov issues, but Provodnikov may sleep well at night knowing Matthysse doesn’t bring the technical attributes of Algieri, they are completely different fighters.

While he doesn’t possess the knockout percentage ratio of Matthysse he probably hits just as hard and has developed as a fighter over the last few years, Provodnikov is a physical presence in the ring to match any light welterweight out there.

THE STATISTICS

 

PREDICTION

The bookmakers are seeing this as pretty much a 50/50 match up and I think most would agree with that, it really is a tough fight to call. However I believe Matthysse’s ability to box gives him the slight edge.

Provodnikov has never faced a puncher like Matthysse before and if Matthysse can box and catch an incoming Provodnikov with his best punches it will be interesting to see if Provodnikov just eats them up as he usually does.

Matthysse has made no secret his plan is to box and move and I believe he will try to follow the blueprint set by other ‘movers’, it will be a difficult task given he isn’t as technically gifted as others before him but I do believe his ability to box is overlooked due to his punching power and tendency to brawl when it fits.

I believe Provodnikov is probably the tougher man in there but I am expecting Matthysse to edge out a tough gruelling 12 round affair via a close points decision.

Spread Ex have 10/3 for a Matthysse decision I think there is same value there, but I would also cover the draw in this one.

BETTING TIP 

£15 on Lucas Matthysse by decision 10/3 spread ex, £5 on the draw 25/1 Paddy Power.