Kevin Mitchell Vs Daniel Estrada – Preview and Prediction

Kevin-Mitchell-Jorge-Linares-400x255

British Boxing 2015 gets under way with it’s first live card on Sky Sports this weekend as Kevin Mitchell looks to take a big step towards a world title shot against WBC lightweight champion Jorge Linares, first he has to get past Mexican Daniel Estrada this weekend.

Kevin-Mitchell-001

THE STORY ON – KEVIN MITCHELL

After winning British and Commonwealth titles early on in his career at super featherweight, Mitchell looked on the crest of a wave when he schooled Amir Khan conqueror Breidis Prescott for 12 rounds, a fighter with super sharp skills and a crafty boxing brain to compliment. Kevin Mitchell looked destined to become a world champion until he stepped into the ring with Michael Katsidis in 2010, Katsidis would stop Mitchell emphatically inside 3 rounds.

2 years later after beating Felix Lora and winning a thrilling domestic dust up with John Murray Mitchell would finally get his shot at a world title against Ricky Burns, but again Mitchell would fall significantly short and was stopped by Burns in 4 rounds, and let’s face it, Burns is not a renowned puncher. It surprised many the manner in which Mitchell lost that fight.

Mitchell by his own omission had blown 100k on partying and boozing during periods throughout his career, he now states those days are over and he is fully focused on his boxing, if Mitchell is in a good place mentally and is doing the training right, he could be the best lightweight this country has to offer.

In his last fight Mitchell had to overcome a gruelling contest with Ghislian Maduma a well chiselled competitor who was very underrated going into this fight, Mitchell scored an 11th round KO after being marginally down on all 3 judges scorecards.  While Mitchell did struggle at times in that fight,  I give him more credit than most for that win as I took a good look at Maduma before that fight and thought he was a very decent and underrated fighter.

Mitchell missed out on a mandatory slot for the IBF title against Maduma after making weight at the original weigh in, however his overnight weight gain was 2Ibs over the 10Ibs IBF rules permit. This may have have had its effect mentally on Mitchell.

Daniel-Estrada

THE STORY ON – DANIEL ESTRADA

Mexican Estrada comes into this fight off the back of a stoppage defeat in a world title contest with Omar Figueroa, Estrada disappointed in that fight and was dominated throughout the fight before being stopped in the 9th. However they make them tough in Mexico and with Juan Manuel Marquez in his corner, Estrada will be coming over to win.

Estrada is a guy from humble beginnings, he is well schooled and has enough pop to have Mitchell in trouble if he can get there. The problem with Estrada is his record is littered with soft opposition so other than the step up to world level against Figueroa we don’t know an awful let about Estrada against decent opposition, and Mitchell at his best is very decent.

THE STATISTICS

 courtesy of boxstat.co

PREDICTION: MITCHELL KO8 

Estrada is a tough and capable customer and this is not an easy fight for Mitchell and the bookmakers odds of 9/4 Estrada reflect that this is not a foregone conclusion for the Londoner. However I think Mitchell is in a good place at the moment mentally and knows he need to get a move on if he wants to win that elusive world title.

I am backing Mitchell to make a statement this weekend, he has bags of talent when he is switched on and enough dig to end a fight suddenly. I Expect a tentative early few rounds but once Mitchell starts to get into his groove I dont think Estrada will have any answers.

However Mitchell’s defence isn’t the best at times and with a history of unravelling on the big stage I think covering the bet with Estrada by KO may offer some sensible insurance.

BETTING TIP 

£20 Mitchell by KO 7/4 Bet365, £5 on Estrada by KO 9/2 Bet365.