Floyd Mayweather Vs Saul Alvarez – 14th September 2014

MGM Grand, Las Vegas, USA 

WBC Light Middleweight Title 
WBA Super World Light Middleweight Title 

Many feel that this may be the fight where Mayweather’s reign as the undefeated king of boxing comes to an end and a new guy takes over the reigns, and you can see why. Saul Alvarez at only 23 has already amassed a more than credible unbeaten record of 43 fights, a record some fighters would be more than happy to retire with.

He has been fighting professional since the age of 15, as he was so good they could not find suitable junior level opponents for him. And even after turning professional at 15 he was a boy knocking out men. Regardless of whether he wins this fight he will most likely go on to be a dominant force in boxing and the fact he is only 23 can be quite illusive given the career he has had already to date, but make no mistake Alvarez is still fresh and no one has took him into the trenches yet.

However there have been fights where Alvarez has failed to reach the expectations set by his exceptional career to date; in his last bout against Austin Trout he appeared to get a leg up on the judges’ scorecards in what appeared an extremely close fight that split opinion across the boxing world. Previous to that he failed to out Matthew Hatton and needed just shy of the whole 12 rounds to out a past his best Ryan Rhodes, these are European level fighters.

But Alvarez is improving and against Austin Trout I was really impressed with how excellent his defence is, he has fast hands and can string together thudding combinations and mixes up his punches extremely well, however I felt he didn’t do enough and at times almost appeared lazy.

Alvarez may have more power than Mayweather has seen in a while and it may be that he comes in the stronger guy, however it may be a case that the 152 catchweight limit could be problematic for Alvarez, time will tell. Alvarez certainly has the power to make an opponent wince, and Floyd will certainly respect it.

Mayweather needs no introduction he is simply the master of technique and a defensive genius and although his bouts don’t tend to be full out wars or epics, he always draws the world over because people really appreciate that they may not see such perfection of the sweet science in their lifetime, for me over the years it truly has been a pleasure.

In his last bout Mayweather put on a clinic against the usually aggressive and strong chinned Robert Guerrero, I think one of the most notable factors from that fight is while Floyd clearly beat Guerrero through technical superiority it was also interesting to see how weary Guerrero was of Floyds power and Floyd kept him honest all night. While Floyd has been labelled as a point scorer at times and a minimum risk fighter the KO is still in the locker for me, even at such an Elite level.

While I expect Alvarez to have moments early I think Mayweather will break the code eventually and we will see another dominant performance from money, however I have no qualms with anyone willing to back Alvarez, he does have tools that could trouble Money.

Mayweather is best priced at 13/20 to get the decision and I am rarely willing to go that low in a sport where one punch can change everything, therefore I have decided to have a little nibble on a Mayweather KO at 6/1 I think that is a reasonable price.

For me there are still a few niggly questions marks that surround Alvarez and how he may react if Mayweather can get him buzzing, it may be that that never happens but as this fight can be regarded as a considerable step up for Alvarez, and whilst Floyd has fought and exploited many Elite level fighters in his career I am prepared to take my chances for such a considerable return.

ATR’s Bet – £25 on Mayweather by KO/TKO 6/1 Betfred

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