Edwin Rodriguez vs Denis Grachev – 13th July 2013

Location – Salle des etoiles Monte Carlo, Monaco

Grachev is a real come forward, rugged pressure fighter with a superhuman toughness about him, he beat former cruiserweight world title holder Zsolt Erdei in his last bout (Erdei was 33-0 prior to that bout) and before that gave Lucian Bute hell in a unanimous decision loss, some felt 115-113. 118-110 116-112 scorecards to Bute were generous.

Rodriguez is a very well rounded boxer with decent he has beaten solid opposition along the way to an unbeaten 23-0 record, however he hasn’t been in with top top level opposition as yet.

I see why Rodriguez is favourite as many figure he can use his smooth boxing skills to outbox Grachev, but Grachev is not easily deterred and he is very very persistent, coupled with the fact he has fight changing power.

Erdei was outboxing Grachev in the early rounds but Grachev kept coming and finished the fight strongly getting him a split nod and i figure we could see something similar here in what i see as more a 50/50 fight then the odds suggest.

Grachev is 15/8 at Bet365 and i am going to make a reasonable play on him.

ATR’s Bet – £40 on Grachev 15/8 Bet365