Danny Garcia Vs Zab Judah – 27th April 2013

Location – Barclays Center, Brooklyn, New York

WBA Super World light welterweight title 
WBC light welterweight title

This is set to be a high energy battle between the ever rising Danny Garcia and the experienced and fairly accomplished veteran Zab Judah.

Zab Judah although hasn’t always reached the heights of expectation has had a great career winning world titles at Light Welterweight and Welterweight, he has real sharp boxing ability, good reflexes and speed and carries a fair bit of pop in the leather.

Danny Garcia was regarded as a solid prospect until last year when he had a real coming of age year, stopping both Amir Khan and Erik Morales in world title bouts to announce his arrival on the big stage and as a pound for pound contender.

With Garcia, although at times there appears to be nothing too flashy about Garcia, he actually has very good technical boxing skills, good speed and is an underrated and devastating counter puncher who looks to lay traps for his opponent, a trap in which contains his most dangerous asset a devastating left hook which finished off both Khan and Morales.

Judah has fought at light welterweight for the majority of his career with a fairly large chunk at welterweight and has even fought at light middle. However i have always felt Judah has looked best at light welterweight and this is the weight he seems most comfortable with and in fact only 2 of his 7 defeats have come at light welterweight. 

At light welter in the last 3 years he has notched up good wins against Lucas Matthysse, Kaizer Mabuza and took highly regarded prospect Vernon Paris to school in his last outing, however there was a loss to Amir Khan in between those victories in what was a performance that concerns me because it looked like Judah tried to buy a ticket out of that one claiming a low blow that looked on the belt line, and as a result missed the count. 

I believe if Judah can avoid Garcia’s traps and negotiate Garcia’s left hook i see him as the quicker fighter with perhaps more boxing ability, you see although i am a real fan of Garcias simple but effective methods if you evaluate his career to date from a more critical stance – He was on his way to being schooled by Amir Khan before finding the left hook, he struggled against a stodgy Erik Morales in their first fight, a fight i actually only had him winning by a round and Morales took him to school for periods of that bout, he just got past an awkward Ashley Theophane by a whisker and Kendall Holt give him food for thought on his way to a split decision.

I do believe Garcia is very tough minded and can also take shots when in trenches and although we haven’t seen him in any real trouble as of yet, he is most definitely there to be hit and if Zab Judah can box smart he has every chance of an upset here.

I certainly will not be surprised to see Zab Judah spread out on the canvass in this fight, as i believe Garcia is a real puncher but i feel Zab Judah has the tools here and Garcia isn’t a real come forward pressure fighter, something Judah has struggled with in the past, this will give Zab time to work his way around Garcia, finding angles and preserving energy when needed, in a nutshell i give Judah more than a live chance to outbox Garcia in this bout.

Interestingly we can get 5/1 for a Judah win by any method, this is a price im really comfortable with and im going to make a play on Judah to outbox Danny Garcia and notch up an upset.

INSTRUCTIONS 

Bankroll 

£5000 – £50 on Judah 5/1 Betvictor, £5 on the draw 40/1 youwin 

£2500 – £25 on Judah 5/1 Betvictor, £2.50 on the draw 40/1 youwin 

£1000 – £10 on Judah 5/1 Betvictor, £1 on the draw 40/1 youwin 

£500 – £5 on Judah 5/1 Betvictor, £0.50 on the draw 40/1 youwin