Danny Garcia Vs Lucas Matthysse – 14th September 2014

MGM Grand, Las Vegas, USA 

WBA Super World Light Welterweight Title 
WBC Light Welterweight Title

This is probably the most eagerly anticipated fight of the year, the top two at 140 and two of the biggest punchers in the sport go head to head in what could be a fight people talk about for a long time after and is a main event in its own right.

Matthysse somewhat solidified has reputation as the beast of 140 after dismantling highly rated and world champion Lamont Peterson inside 3 rounds back in May. It was a powerful performance as Peterson was well known for his toughness and resilience and had never ever been run over like that before, despite sharing the ring with top opposition such as Timothy Bradley, Amir Khan and Victor Ortiz.

Garcia has been underestimated before and perhaps it would be wise not to write him off in this one, this kid is seriously tough and when backed in a corner he has a knack of defying the odds. He packs devastating power in his left hook and that is a fight changing punch for him. He was eating punches from Amir Khan through 3 rounds before turning the fight on its head and finally stopping Khan in the 4th round.

Neither fighter is the best defensively, both like to come forward looking to land big shots. Garcia is probably the better boxer of the two and could try and box Matthysse from range but I can’t see him doing that for 12 rounds. More often than not I think they will find each other and it won’t be hugging on the agenda. In those scenarios while Garcia will always be dangerous, it’s the man with the bigger weaponry in his armour, Lucas Matthysse, who I favour.

Matthysse is best price 8/11 down at Paddy Power to find the stoppage and I can’t say I am completely sold on that price given the fact Garcia is always going to be dangerous while he is upright; it is not a price I would look to go in large on.

This left me looking at the over/under markets and I think there is a good chance this fight does not go past the mid rounds and Ladbrokes have the fight to finish within 8 rounds at evens I think that is a decent enough price, this means if the fight sees the 9th the bet is a loser but if it ends before the bell sounds for the 9th it’s a winner.

ATR’s Bet – £50 on the fight to end within 8 rounds evens at Ladbrokes 

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