Arthur Abraham Vs Paul Smith – Preview, Prediction and Betting Tip

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Arthur Abraham Vs Paul Smith

Preview, Prediction and Betting Tip

Paul Smith looks to fulfil a lifetime ambition and become a world champion against Arthur Abraham in Germany, and with Abraham nearing the end of his career and seemingly a shadow of his former self of late, Smith will not get a better chance. 

As a middleweight Abraham was formidable, since he moved up to super middleweight he has not been quite the same fighter. However he is still a special fighter with a huge heart, solid chin and heavy hands. Abraham has an explosive style, he will do very little in a round then will switch gears and become explosive unloading bombs. 

As Abraham has aged he has become more predictable, slowed down and become more telegraphed, Smith has a chance of taking advantage by sticking to a game plan, keeping the fight long and staying busy. 

I give Smith a shot in this fight and I believe he will perform better than many expect, It would not surprise me if Smith is ahead at the halfway point on many peoples scorecards. If Smith sticks to a game plan, does not get involved in a tear up, he can pull it off. I believe Smith is in a good place physically and mentally for this fight. 

Abraham will likely finish strongly, in his last fight he had Robert Stieglitz down in the 12th and finished well. The trouble for Smith is this is in Germany and I dont expect him to get any close rounds. But whilst many see Smith getting stopped in this fight, and of course that is a real possibility. I see this one going the distance and being competitive. 

Abraham 7/2 to win on points is where the value is in this fight for me, but I would also straddle the 15/2 for a Smith decision and the draw at 30/1. 

Boxing Tipster’s Bets: £20 on Abraham by decision 7/2 Betfred, £5 on Smith by decision 15/2 Bet365 and £5 on the draw 30/1 Paddy Power. 

UNDERCARD PICK 

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Noel Gevor Vs Tamas Lodi 

I also took a look at this undercard fight which interested me, Noel Gevor an unbeaten prospect is being matched up with 14-3-1 fighter Tamas Lodi. At first glance it looks like its a formality type win for the prospect, which it may well end up being. But when taking a look at both fighters I think Lodi has a chance and can cause an upset on the night. 

Lodi has lost 3 times, once to Jean Marc Mormeck a former multiple world cruiserweight champion, once to Ilunga Makabu a future cruiserweight world champion (in my opinion) and then lost on points going the distance in a European level type fight to Nuri Seferi. Lodi is only 25 so you would like to think he will come into this fight with ambitions of his own. He looks like a decent puncher and Gevor to date has fought absolutely nobody. 

It was clear from my research of footage of both fighters that Gevor is the more technically superior fighter, but Lodi showed some heart in his losses, can counter off the back foot and if he catches Gevor it could get interesting. 

I am going to have a nibble on Lodi at 6/1, I may be way off but I dont think this is a mere formality for Gevor. 

Boxing Tipster’s Bet: £10 on Tamas Lodi 6/1 Bet365