Arthur Abraham Vs Paul Smith II – Preview and Prediction

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Arthur Abraham Vs Paul Smith II

Preview, Prediction and Betting Tip

Arthur Abraham and Paul Smith will go head to head again for the WBO Super middleweight this weekend following their close encounter in Germany in September 2014.

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THE STORY ON – ARTHUR ABRAHAM

Arthur Abraham is probably now in the twilight of his career. Formidable as an unbeaten middleweight who held the IBF middleweight title for 4 years and 10 defences, Abraham hasn’t quite been the same fighter at super middleweight.

The Armenian – German fighter is an explosive stop start fighter with power, he tends to take a large portion of rounds off and then switches gears quickly and lets his hands go, usually towards the end of a round as he tries to nick the round, its been a detrimental tactic for him at times in fights, allowing fighters to be busy for large portion of rounds.

King Arthur is a German fan favourite and he will be on home soil again for this one, it’s likely to take a dominant performance from Smith to see the judges score a fight against the King in Germany.

GERMANY BOXING

THE STORY ON – PAUL SMITH

Paul Smith began boxing at the age of 9 and is the oldest of an admired group of boxing brothers all challenging for boxing titles, Liam, Stephen and Callum. Paul has a good amateur career winning a ABA title and silver medal in the commonwealth games.

While he has achieved much at domestic level in his professional career, Smith was never expected to reign supreme at world level but in Arthur Abraham he has faded champion in front of him that could see him fulfil a lifetime ambition of becoming a world champion.

Paul Smith was expected by most to fall much shorter than he did in September 2014, 117-111 x 2 and 119-109 did not reflect the fight that everyone witnessed. This was an extremely close fight that could have gone either way.

Smith has a good boxing IQ and is a good all rounder, without really excelling in anything in particular. One of Paul Smith’s best assets though is he is heavy handed so he will always be in with a chance of changing the dynamics of a fight, In his last fight against Abraham he seemed to have a lot of success with body shots, this should be an avenue to explore again for Smith.

THE STATISTICS

 

COURTESY OF BOXSTAT.CO

PREDICTION – Abraham UD

Last time I predicted a competitive fight and tabbed an Abraham decision at 7/2 as the betting tip and we cleaned up. But this time round, after the first fight the bookies are not being so generous at 5/4 for an Abraham decision.

I don’t really see anything to make me change my mind, I see a similar fight and on German soil I feel its very unlikely Paul Smith will have has hand raised in a close fight, although he may get better scorecards given the controversy of the first fight.

The truth is I dont see much value in this fight, 5/4 for is a short price given both fighters are heavy handed so a stoppage is not completely out of the question. Paddy Power have Smith to be knocked down at 5/4 this includes a TKO victory, so if Smith was still stopped on his feet, its a winner.

BETTING TIP

£20 on Paul Smith to be knocked down 5/4 Paddy Power