Anthony Joshua Vs Carlos Takam – Preview and Prediction

Anthony Joshua will make a mandatory defence of his IBF heavyweight title against late replacement Carlos Takam in front of a 75,000 crowd at the Principality Stadium in Cardiff this weekend. Joshua’s IBF, WBA and IBO heavyweight titles will all be on the line.

Joshua has had just 10 days to prepare for Takam as original opponent Bulgarian Kubrat Pulev pulled out through injury, according to reports Joshua’s promoter  Eddie Hearn had an agreement with Takam’s team for Takam to be on standby in case of such an event when they originally signed to fight Pulev. Therefore Takam has been in training himself.

Joshua is coming in off the back of the biggest win of his career, beating legend Wladimir Klitschko at Wembley Stadium in April of this year in one of the most exciting heavyweight fights in recent years, that win cemented Joshua’s arrival to the top of the heavyweight division and further fueled the excitement around the Watford man.

With the absence of Tyson Fury, retirement of the Klitchscko brothers and a seeming lack of real quality opposition in the heavyweight division at the present moment in time it is difficult to see who is going to challenge Joshua in the short to medium term, however, this is the division where belts are exchanged with one punch and Carlos Takam will be looking to land it this weekend.

One thing we learned about Joshua in his fight with Klitschko is that he has the heart and the determination to go on and win when he has been hurt badly in a fight, however, in taking nothing away from Joshua it was also clear to me had Klitschko had fewer miles on the clock that night, Joshua would have been in trouble, and arguably could and should have been finished by Klitschko in those 6th and 7th rounds.

But still, regardless of Klitschko’s 41 years of age, it was a win over an extremely experienced and talented legend who before losing to Tyson Fury had previously held the world heavyweight championship for 9 and a half years, the second longest reigning heavyweight champion of all time, so still a very good win on record indeed.

Joshua still has a reasonably solid opponent in Carlos Takam this weekend, this may not be the complete blowout everyone is expecting, Takam has shown to be durable and capable in his career and while I still feel there is little threat to Joshua’s throne this weekend, there may be a longer fight to be witnessed than many are expecting. Having said that this is the heavyweight division, one punch can end it in the first or the last, you take your pick, you take your chances.

In terms of betting the fight, I truly believe the value lies in the fight going some rounds, you can get 6th round or over at 2/1 and Joshua rounds 7-12 at 4/1 those are the types of bets I am looking at this weekend.

If the likes of Dillian Whyte and Dominic Breazeale can go 7 rounds with Joshua I can’t see how it is inconceivable that a durable and solid contender like Takam can take Joshua into the mid to later rounds, but like I have previously stated this is the heavyweight division and Joshua is a very quick finisher once he has a man hurt, this could easily be over in 4, but for me if you want to bet some value this weekend you need to looking at the fight going later than the market expects it to.


BETTING TIP – 1pt 6th round or over 2/1 Sky Bet, 1 pt on Joshua rounds 7-12 at 4/1 Betfair  


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