Andre Ward Vs Sergey Kovalev II – Preview and Prediction

Sergey Kovalev and Andre Ward will face each other for the second time this Saturday night following their controversial bout last year in which Andre Ward took Kovalev’s light heavyweight titles with a close and very debatable unanimous decision with all judges scoring the bout 114-113 in Ward’s favour.

UK boxing fans can catch the fight on Sky Sports from 2 am Sunday morning. HBO boxing will be televising the bout Pay-Per-View stateside

The decision sparked outrage among many fans and media, a post-fight collection of 60 scorecards from various respectable boxing media outlets stated 73% of media scored the fight for Kovalev with only 15% scoring the bout to Ward with the remainder scoring the bout a draw. The general consensus among most is Kovalev won the fight

Let’s face it, however, we have seen a lot worse scoring than this in boxing over the years and there were some subjective rounds fought, for me personally, however, there isn’t anyone who can convince me Ward won 7 rounds of that contest and I felt Kovalev had done more than enough to retain his titles. For the record, my scorecard was 115-112 Kovalev.

However Andre Ward deserves an enormous amount of credit for picking himself up of off the canvass following a knockdown in the 2nd round and dusting himself off after a nightmare start to get himself back into the fight and making an argument of it, Ward looked more and more comfortable as the fight progressed and Kovalev seemed to tire in the later rounds.

It is also worth remembering Ward was stepping up a weight and fighting the best in the division, hence why you will find this man on many a top pound for pound list.

Many fancy Ward to pick up where he left off, having figured Kovalev out, but I am not quite buying into that one yet, Kovalev like Ward is technically brilliant and just as capable of making adaptions if required. I think we will have another close and subjective fight on our hands, if it goes the distance again.

This again is a genuine 50/50 fight and even the bookmakers can’t split them by much, all books, however, have Andre Ward marginal favourite. 4/6 Ward Vs 5/4 Kovalev is about average across the markets at the time of writing.

I say the books are about right and if you are looking at getting value in this fight I don’t think there is much to be had in the outright market.

Again I can make arguments for both fighters winning this weekend and with three American judges on the panel again we may see a repeat of favourable scorecards for the American.

If you are looking for heaps of value, this probably isn’t the fight to bet on and I would urge not to stake heavy, for me the bet I see with most value is Kovalev by stoppage which is a very generous 9/2, I think Kovalev is capable of stopping anyone on his day and he appears very determined to right a wrong here and most certainly won’t want it to go to the judges. That would be my value bet in this one.

In all honesty, if I could sit on the fence on this one I probably would, but I can’t so I am going to stick with my initial prediction for the first fight and that was Kovalev to win a close and competitive decision. Which in many people’s eyes is exactly what happened in the first encounter.